R56 MKI resale value after MKII launch
#1
MKI resale value after MKII launch
I can currently sell my MCS (it is leased) for more than I owe on it, which has had me thinking about upgrading to a 2006. Though I am enticed by options like an LSD, the main reason I am thinking about it is because I know I want to purchase/lease a MY'08/09 MCS when they have worked the first year bugs out. Having owned and modded a turbo car, I know this is what I want to be driving.
My apprehension in trading up to an '06 is the possibility that the current car, with its ridiculous resale value, will have a steep decline when the '07 launches. If that happens, I am better off holding onto my '05 for the rest of my lease. Based on how other cars with high resale values have reacted when a newer series has launched, how can I figure out what will put me in the best financial position? Should I hold on to my '05, being that I currently have a good 2-3k in positive equity, or should I go for the '06 which will likely bring in a higher resale value when it comes time to sell/trade in '08? Is there a formula or some sort of historical KBB reference or something to figure this out?
My apprehension in trading up to an '06 is the possibility that the current car, with its ridiculous resale value, will have a steep decline when the '07 launches. If that happens, I am better off holding onto my '05 for the rest of my lease. Based on how other cars with high resale values have reacted when a newer series has launched, how can I figure out what will put me in the best financial position? Should I hold on to my '05, being that I currently have a good 2-3k in positive equity, or should I go for the '06 which will likely bring in a higher resale value when it comes time to sell/trade in '08? Is there a formula or some sort of historical KBB reference or something to figure this out?
#2
I personally am betting on the Mk 1 MINI holding its value. I'm buying a 2006 with the lsd and some unique for 06 options. From what I've seen of the 07 MINI, it appears to be the equivalent of the new "Bangle" BMWs vs. the classic older versions.
It's a gamble of course but better the MINI I know than the MINI I don't.
It's a gamble of course but better the MINI I know than the MINI I don't.
#3
more than bangle, blame the european pesdestrian rules!
Originally Posted by anteken
I personally am betting on the Mk 1 MINI holding its value. I'm buying a 2006 with the lsd and some unique for 06 options. From what I've seen of the 07 MINI, it appears to be the equivalent of the new "Bangle" BMWs vs. the classic older versions.
It's a gamble of course but better the MINI I know than the MINI I don't.
It's a gamble of course but better the MINI I know than the MINI I don't.
#4
Originally Posted by anteken
From what I've seen of the 07 MINI, it appears to be the equivalent of the new "Bangle" BMWs vs. the classic older versions.
#5
I was speaking of "Bangleizing" in a generic way, not literal....adding I-Drive, change for change sake, weird steering....etc. Of course the previous gen of BMW's were close to perfect in my eyes...I'm glad I didn't have to try and "improve" them. At least they tried....what they didn't do was admit it was a mistake... even though they changed the 7 series as fast as possible.
The new MINI could be great...who knows for sure? What I do know is I think the current model is great....so I'm taking the safe route....
Cheers
The new MINI could be great...who knows for sure? What I do know is I think the current model is great....so I'm taking the safe route....
Cheers
#6
People, like me, have a love affair with the MINI. People are drawn to it because it is different. If the '07 continues to be different--and fun!--people will flock to it as well. The MINI has the backing of BMW engineering. That alone adds a bit to the resale value.
I will drive my '03 until it dies.
dan
I will drive my '03 until it dies.
dan
#7
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#8
Originally Posted by isellem
the bmw 7 series is the best selling car in its class... we hardly ever have them in stock...
It's an odd line actually, the 1 Series, 5 Series, 6 Series, Z4 (especially the new coupe), and the X5 are all really confident unique designs, while the 3 Series, 7 Series, and X3 all look awkward and unfinished to me...like they're still prototypes or something. In any case, BMW remains my favorite overall car brand. I think what they did with the line is genius.
With that said, any more opinions on the resale value of an MKI Mini when the new one starts hitting dealerships?
#9
#10
Originally Posted by BelowRadar
With that said, any more opinions on the resale value of an MKI Mini when the new one starts hitting dealerships?
I'm not worried either way, I'll be driving my 06 for a long time.
#11
Originally Posted by BelowRadar
With that said, any more opinions on the resale value of an MKI Mini when the new one starts hitting dealerships?
First of all, the mini still sells for sticker (or sticker +) because demand continues to equal or slightly exceed supply. That's good for mini and BMW. Not so good for us. However, since the "value" of the car seems to be quite high, this has helped resale tremendously.
Now, if the new mini is much better than the old, such as when the C5 Corvette came out (I owned a C4 at the time and watched the value plummet) then we can expect prices to drop quite a bit. If it is just evolutionary rather than revolutionary, then it won't effect prices all that much. In my view, the body and styling changes are evolutionary but the engine (at least for the MCS) will undergo quite a radical change. This would affect the enthusiast market more, and therefore the MCS MKI may lose some of it's cachet.
Or not.
We'll never really know until it happens. Lots of stuff "depends". If we have a continued oil crisis and gas prices don't go down, or continue to go up, then practical yet fun cars like the mini could become even more desirable in the US.
Yes, I know, I was no help at all. :smile:
Michael
#12
I got my MCSa in March '05. I like the current model very much, so I decided to sell my 7 months old leased MINI and get a '06 MCS JCW. I configured the MINI of my dreams and asked a local dealer to place an order. They've been having problem with submitting the order because of the Checkmate package I chose with Hyper Blue.
The car was perfect for me and I was going to pay $46,000 and keep it for at least 7-10 years. However, as weeks passed with no production date, I thought over and over and canceled the pre-order last Saturday. Reasons:
1) I was loosing over $4000 if I traded in my '05 MCSa.
2) I couldn't sell mine for it's pay-off price.
3) In late Fall '06 the new '07 model will be introduced. I decided to wait and see if I'll like it, if not, I steel will be able to get a better deal for '06 models than now.
I will miss the MCS JCW I built and try not to think of it for one year.
The car was perfect for me and I was going to pay $46,000 and keep it for at least 7-10 years. However, as weeks passed with no production date, I thought over and over and canceled the pre-order last Saturday. Reasons:
1) I was loosing over $4000 if I traded in my '05 MCSa.
2) I couldn't sell mine for it's pay-off price.
3) In late Fall '06 the new '07 model will be introduced. I decided to wait and see if I'll like it, if not, I steel will be able to get a better deal for '06 models than now.
I will miss the MCS JCW I built and try not to think of it for one year.
#13
#14
#15
Originally Posted by jeffroestobar
I uneducatedly predict that the value of our MINI's will decrease, because whether or not the 2007 is bettter, it will be marketed as being better and the uneduated buyer automatically thinks newer is always better.
you are definetly on to something their...
for some the gen1 cars might be the best overall value since rumour has it that the gen2 cars are going to be "cheaper"
but...
for 90% of the consumers out their... newer, shiner, faster, louder, cooler, insert adjective with -er attached... and that is what is going to motorvate the market...
One thing that just came to mind is that if we still have a huge waiting list for the next car, values of gen1 cars might stay high because they will still be GREAT cars that are available NOW vs. 12-18 months...
food for thought... guess we will just have to and see!
#19
I'm not to worried about the resale. I sold my 03 and picking up my 06 tomorrow so it will be several years before I think about moving on. My wife recently bought a Z3. Why? Even though the Z4 is supposed to be superior, the Z3 has it's own style that will never age. Something I believe the original new MINI has and like the Z3, will keep the resale high for those wanting that particular style.
#20
Not trying to hijack the thread here, but to those of you who have sold your MCS (particularly an 03), how much did you get for it. I'm trying to sell mine now and don't know what to ask.
Weigh in here if you don't mind.
https://www.northamericanmotoring.co...ad.php?t=52785
thanks. JR
Weigh in here if you don't mind.
https://www.northamericanmotoring.co...ad.php?t=52785
thanks. JR
#21
Untill now, the MINI has held its resale for several reasons:
-Good styling. MINI got it just right, by producing a car that recalled the classic Mini, but had its own personality and, I think, will be a moden classic on its own.
-Great handling, even though it cost more to produce, and cut into their margin.
-A surprisingly good engine. Quick, for its size, and relatively dependable.
-"Limited" supply. Since MINI limited the supply of the car (at least they didn't flood the market), people were willing to pay a premium for a used MINI now, vs. a new MINI later.
Now that they've established their market, I expect MINI will want to increase margins on the '07 model, and increase production to start making real money from the line. If they increase margins at the expense of handling (new suspension??), reliability (new engine??), performance (new engine, again??), or styling (will the new 'look' really catch on?), demand for the car may go down, or level off, just as production increases. All that would mean that resale on the new MINI would not hold up as well as it has on the current model.
To date, resale on the MINI has been amazing. I don't think that will continue forever. It may still hold up well on the '07 models, but I don't think it will be as strong as we've seen over these past few years.
-Good styling. MINI got it just right, by producing a car that recalled the classic Mini, but had its own personality and, I think, will be a moden classic on its own.
-Great handling, even though it cost more to produce, and cut into their margin.
-A surprisingly good engine. Quick, for its size, and relatively dependable.
-"Limited" supply. Since MINI limited the supply of the car (at least they didn't flood the market), people were willing to pay a premium for a used MINI now, vs. a new MINI later.
Now that they've established their market, I expect MINI will want to increase margins on the '07 model, and increase production to start making real money from the line. If they increase margins at the expense of handling (new suspension??), reliability (new engine??), performance (new engine, again??), or styling (will the new 'look' really catch on?), demand for the car may go down, or level off, just as production increases. All that would mean that resale on the new MINI would not hold up as well as it has on the current model.
To date, resale on the MINI has been amazing. I don't think that will continue forever. It may still hold up well on the '07 models, but I don't think it will be as strong as we've seen over these past few years.
#22
#23
FWIW.. in my experience the acclaimed high resale value doesn't cause them to sell easily when used... people can opt for a new one for not much more, and around here they are so plentiful used that they end up being a hard sell or an ok-but-not-great trade in value. KBB and Edmunds et al don't provide buyers to buy at those prices!
I'm sure its different on the left coast..
I'm sure its different on the left coast..
#24
You would expect demand to decline at the end of its product cycle, however this is not case. When the new 7s were launched the demand for the outgoing model increased. Same happened with the 5 and the 3 series. Why people didn't like the new design. Some people want the latest and greatest and others simply don't like change.
I personally think the 05 and 06's will retain thier values simply because they have the bugs worked out.
I personally think the 05 and 06's will retain thier values simply because they have the bugs worked out.
#25
Originally Posted by Rossii
You would expect demand to decline at the end of its product cycle, however this is not case. When the new 7s were launched the demand for the outgoing model increased. Same happened with the 5 and the 3 series. Why people didn't like the new design. Some people want the latest and greatest and others simply don't like change.
I personally think the 05 and 06's will retain thier values simply because they have the bugs worked out.
I personally think the 05 and 06's will retain thier values simply because they have the bugs worked out.
For the sake of discussion, my prediction is that resale on first generation cars will decrease slightly when the '07's come out. People on this board may recognize the true ('hidden') value of late first gen cars, but the public at large will pay more attention to the new. My 2 cents.